欢迎访问《草业学报》官方网站,今天是

草业学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (10): 30-47.DOI: 10.11686/cyxb2025418

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

生计资本与牧民草场恢复感知:基于祁连山牧区的实证分析

蒋静1(), 胡金花1, 黄功成1,2, 蒋心灵1, 范玉兵1(), 唐增1, 秦华3   

  1. 1.草种创新与草地农业生态系统全国重点实验室,中国草业发展战略研究中心,兰州大学草地农业科技学院,甘肃 兰州 730020
    2.厦门大学经济学院,福建 厦门 361000
    3.香港中文大学公共政策学院,广东 深圳 518172
  • 收稿日期:2025-10-17 修回日期:2025-12-04 出版日期:2026-10-20 发布日期:2026-09-09
  • 通讯作者: 范玉兵
  • 作者简介:E-mail: fanyb@lzu.edu.cn
    蒋静(2000-),女,甘肃兰州人,在读硕士。E-mail: jiangj2023@lzu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    中国工程院战略研究与咨询项目(2023-XY-28);中国工程院战略研究与咨询项目(2024-XZ-56);中国工程院战略研究与咨询项目(GS2023ZDI01)

Livelihood capital and herders’ perception of grassland restoration: An empirical analysis based on the Qilian Mountain pastoral area

Jing JIANG1(), Jin-hua HU1, Gong-cheng HUANG1,2, Xin-ling JIANG1, Yu-bing FAN1(), Zeng TANG1, Hua QIN3   

  1. 1.State Key Laboratory of Herbage Improvement and Grassland Agro-Ecosystems,Chinese Grass Industry Development Strategy Research Center,College of Pastoral Agriculture Science and Technology,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730020,China
    2.School of Economics,Xiamen University,Xiamen 361000,China
    3.School of Public Policy,The Chinese University of Hong Kong,Shenzhen 518172,China
  • Received:2025-10-17 Revised:2025-12-04 Online:2026-10-20 Published:2026-09-09
  • Contact: Yu-bing FAN

摘要:

草场退化对我国生态安全与可持续发展构成严重威胁,牧户作为草场管理的直接决策者,其草场恢复感知对退化草场的生态恢复成效至关重要。本研究运用二元Probit模型及多角度异质性分析研究生计资本5个维度各因素对牧户退化草场恢复感知的影响。结果显示:自然资本中草场经营面积每增加666.67 hm2,牧户感知草场恢复的概率降低1.5%;物质资本中牧户养殖家畜数量每增加100羊单位,牧户感知草场恢复的概率降低1.4%;金融资本中牧户获得的草原生态补奖资金每增加1万元,其草场恢复感知提高3.8%;社会资本中牧户间相互影响程度每提高1单位,草场恢复感知提高2.0%;牧户环境意识每增加1单位,草场恢复感知提高3.2%;祁连山南北麓地区牧户在草场恢复感知上存在差异,北麓地区草原补奖政策效果更显著,而南麓地区牧户的劳动力数量和环境意识对草场恢复感知更有积极作用。相关政策设计应考虑各生计资本不同维度因素对牧户草场恢复感知的作用及影响差异。

关键词: 生计资本, 退化草场恢复, 牧户感知, 祁连山地区, Probit模型

Abstract:

Grassland degradation presents a serious threat to Chinese ecological security and sustainable development. As the direct decision-makers in grassland management, herders’ perception of grassland restoration is crucial to the ecological recovery of degraded grasslands. This study employs the binary Probit model and multi-angle heterogeneity analysis to analyze the impact on herders’ perception of grassland restoration, of various factors under the five dimensions of livelihood capital. The findings indicate that in terms of natural capital, for every additional 666.67 ha of grassland operated by herders, the probability of their having a positive perception of the grassland restoration status decreases by 1.5%. Regarding material capital, for every increase of 100 sheep units in the number of livestock raised by herders, their perception of grassland restoration status declines by 1.4%. With respect to financial capital, for every additional 10000 CNY of ecological compensation and rewards received by herders, their perception of grassland restoration rises by 3.8%. With respect to social capital, for every one-unit increase in the degree of mutual influence among herders, their perception of grassland restoration increases by 2.0%. Furthermore, for every one-unit increase in herders’ environmental awareness, their perception of grassland restoration increases by 3.2%. There are differences in herders’ perception of grassland restoration between the northern and southern slopes of the Qilian Mountains, the effect of the ecological compensation policy is more significant in the northern slope area, while the number of laborers and environmental awareness of herders in the southern slope area have a more positive effect on their perception of grassland restoration. The design of relevant policies should take into account the role and the different influences of various dimensions of livelihood capital on herders’ perception of grassland restoration.

Key words: livelihood capital, degraded grassland restoration, herders’ perception, Qilian Mountains region, Probit model