Acta Prataculturae Sinica ›› 2024, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (12): 13-22.DOI: 10.11686/cyxb2024046
Previous Articles Next Articles
Fu-ning LI1,2(), Tian-shu CHAI3, Ze-ping QIN2,4, Zeng TANG2,4,5()
Received:
2024-02-02
Revised:
2024-03-16
Online:
2024-12-20
Published:
2024-10-09
Contact:
Zeng TANG
Fu-ning LI, Tian-shu CHAI, Ze-ping QIN, Zeng TANG. Analysis of herders’ willingness to pay for snow disaster weather-index insurance—A case study in the Gannan Pastoral area[J]. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2024, 33(12): 13-22.
项目Item | 触发指数Trigger index | 理赔方式Insurance payments indemnity |
---|---|---|
轻灾保险Light disaster insurance | 连续积雪天数达到约定指数4~10 d。The number of days with continuous snow cover reached the trigger index of 4-10 d. | 每只羊每天赔付1.8 kg饲料。Each sheep is paid 1.8 kg of feed per day. |
中灾保险Medium disaster insurance | 连续积雪天数达到约定指数10~20 d。The number of days with continuous snow cover reached the trigger index of 10-20 d. | 赔付保险金额的60%。Pay 60% of the insured amount. |
重灾保险Serious disaster insurance | 连续积雪天数达到约定指数20 d以上。The number of days with continuous snow cover reached the trigger index of more than 20 d. | 赔付保险金额的80%。Pay 80% of the insured amount. |
Table 1 Compensation scheme of snow index insurance
项目Item | 触发指数Trigger index | 理赔方式Insurance payments indemnity |
---|---|---|
轻灾保险Light disaster insurance | 连续积雪天数达到约定指数4~10 d。The number of days with continuous snow cover reached the trigger index of 4-10 d. | 每只羊每天赔付1.8 kg饲料。Each sheep is paid 1.8 kg of feed per day. |
中灾保险Medium disaster insurance | 连续积雪天数达到约定指数10~20 d。The number of days with continuous snow cover reached the trigger index of 10-20 d. | 赔付保险金额的60%。Pay 60% of the insured amount. |
重灾保险Serious disaster insurance | 连续积雪天数达到约定指数20 d以上。The number of days with continuous snow cover reached the trigger index of more than 20 d. | 赔付保险金额的80%。Pay 80% of the insured amount. |
变量 Variable | 变量定义或赋值方法 Definition and assignment | 平均 Mean | 标准差Standard deviation (SD) |
---|---|---|---|
牧户受教育程度Education of herders | 1=没有受过教育No education; 2=小学Primary school; 3=初中Junior high school; 4=高中或中专High school or technical secondary school; 5=大学及以上College and above | 1.56 | 0.75 |
牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time of herders engaged in animal husbandry | 牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time of herders engaged in animal husbandry (Month) | 8.80 | 4.91 |
家庭中是否有政府工作人员Whether there are government employees in the family or not | 1=有Yes; 0=没有No | 0.09 | 0.27 |
家庭人口数Number of family members | 家庭人口总数Number of family members | 5.68 | 1.97 |
家庭是否以畜牧业为主要生计Whether the family relies on animal husbandry as its main livelihood | 1=是Yes;0=否No | 0.77 | 0.43 |
羊的数量The number of sheep | 养殖羊的总数Total number of sheep (sheep-unit) | 52.31 | 81.39 |
畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry | 畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry (×104 CNY) | 0.37 | 10.42 |
承包草场面积Contracted grassland area | 家庭承包草场面积The area of household contracted grassland (×104 hm2) | 0.19 | 0.46 |
Table 2 Summary of variables
变量 Variable | 变量定义或赋值方法 Definition and assignment | 平均 Mean | 标准差Standard deviation (SD) |
---|---|---|---|
牧户受教育程度Education of herders | 1=没有受过教育No education; 2=小学Primary school; 3=初中Junior high school; 4=高中或中专High school or technical secondary school; 5=大学及以上College and above | 1.56 | 0.75 |
牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time of herders engaged in animal husbandry | 牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time of herders engaged in animal husbandry (Month) | 8.80 | 4.91 |
家庭中是否有政府工作人员Whether there are government employees in the family or not | 1=有Yes; 0=没有No | 0.09 | 0.27 |
家庭人口数Number of family members | 家庭人口总数Number of family members | 5.68 | 1.97 |
家庭是否以畜牧业为主要生计Whether the family relies on animal husbandry as its main livelihood | 1=是Yes;0=否No | 0.77 | 0.43 |
羊的数量The number of sheep | 养殖羊的总数Total number of sheep (sheep-unit) | 52.31 | 81.39 |
畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry | 畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry (×104 CNY) | 0.37 | 10.42 |
承包草场面积Contracted grassland area | 家庭承包草场面积The area of household contracted grassland (×104 hm2) | 0.19 | 0.46 |
变量Variable | 回归系数Coefficient | 标准误Standard error |
---|---|---|
牧户受教育程度Education of herders | -1.900 | 2.208 |
牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time engaged in animal husbandry | 1.240* | 0.626 |
家庭中是否有政府工作人员Whether there are government employees in the family or not | -17.612** | 6.886 |
家庭人口数Number of family members | -1.903** | 0.823 |
家庭是否以畜牧业为主要生计Whether the family relies on animal husbandry as its main livelihood | -18.106** | 7.380 |
羊的数量The number of sheep | 0.034* | 0.019 |
畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry | 0.136 | 0.144 |
承包草场面积Contracted grassland area | -2.480 | 3.378 |
常数项Constant term | 26.062*** | 7.095 |
Table 3 Tobit model estimation
变量Variable | 回归系数Coefficient | 标准误Standard error |
---|---|---|
牧户受教育程度Education of herders | -1.900 | 2.208 |
牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time engaged in animal husbandry | 1.240* | 0.626 |
家庭中是否有政府工作人员Whether there are government employees in the family or not | -17.612** | 6.886 |
家庭人口数Number of family members | -1.903** | 0.823 |
家庭是否以畜牧业为主要生计Whether the family relies on animal husbandry as its main livelihood | -18.106** | 7.380 |
羊的数量The number of sheep | 0.034* | 0.019 |
畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry | 0.136 | 0.144 |
承包草场面积Contracted grassland area | -2.480 | 3.378 |
常数项Constant term | 26.062*** | 7.095 |
变量Variable | 回归系数Coefficient | 标准误Standard error |
---|---|---|
牧户受教育程度Education of herders | -1.151 | 1.832 |
牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time engaged in animal husbandry | 0.989* | 0.532 |
家庭中是否有政府工作人员Whether there are government employees in the family or not | -9.765* | 5.087 |
家庭人口数Number of family members | -1.637** | 0.701 |
家庭是否以畜牧业为主要生计Whether the family relies on animal husbandry as its main livelihood | -13.690** | 6.219 |
羊的数量The number of sheep | 0.029* | 0.016 |
畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry | 0.130 | 0.124 |
承包草场面积Contracted grassland area | -3.032 | 2.967 |
常数项Constant term | 24.010*** | 5.964 |
Table 4 Robustness test
变量Variable | 回归系数Coefficient | 标准误Standard error |
---|---|---|
牧户受教育程度Education of herders | -1.151 | 1.832 |
牧户从事畜牧业的时间Time engaged in animal husbandry | 0.989* | 0.532 |
家庭中是否有政府工作人员Whether there are government employees in the family or not | -9.765* | 5.087 |
家庭人口数Number of family members | -1.637** | 0.701 |
家庭是否以畜牧业为主要生计Whether the family relies on animal husbandry as its main livelihood | -13.690** | 6.219 |
羊的数量The number of sheep | 0.029* | 0.016 |
畜牧业纯收入Net income of animal husbandry | 0.130 | 0.124 |
承包草场面积Contracted grassland area | -3.032 | 2.967 |
常数项Constant term | 24.010*** | 5.964 |
1 | Portner H O, Roberts D C, Adams H, et al. Climate change 2022: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, 2022. |
2 | Ruchismita R, Churchil C. State and market synergies: Insights from India’s microinsurance success//Churchill C, Matu M, eds. Protecting the poor: A microinsurance compendium (Vol.Il). Geneva: International Labour Organization, 2012. |
3 | Carter M, De Janvry A, Sadoulet E, et al. A index-based weather insurance for developing countries: a review of evidence and a set of propositions for up-scaling; Background document for the workshop:“Microfinance products for weather risk management in developing countries: State of the arts and perspectives”. Paris, France: FERDI, 2014. |
4 | Li T X, Xu Y S, Zhu J. Upgrading China’s construction of agricultural disaster prevention and reduction system: Achievements, problems and suggestions. Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University (Social Science Edition), 2023, 22(6): 43-52. |
李天祥, 许银珊, 朱晶. 我国农业防灾减灾体系建设: 成效、问题与建议. 山西农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2023, 22(6): 43-52. | |
5 | Yi M L, Wang J W, Wang Z, et al. Design of snow disaster weather-index insurance for pasture animal husbandry: A case study in Eastern Inner Mongolia. Insurance Studies, 2015, 36(5): 69-77. |
易沵泺, 王季薇, 王铸, 等. 草原牧区雪灾天气指数保险设计——以内蒙古东部地区为例. 保险研究, 2015, 36(5): 69-77. | |
6 | Li Z, Chen S W, Niu H. Business problems, rules and developing ideas of agricultural insurance of weather index. Rural Economy, 2022(2): 100-107. |
李政, 陈盛伟, 牛浩. 农业天气指数保险的业务难题、角色定位与发展思路.农村经济, 2022(2): 100-107. | |
7 | Turkten H, Yildirim C, Ceyhan V. Evaluating willingness to pay for agricultural insurance and determinants of agricultural insurance purchasing in Samsun Province of Turkiye. New Medit, 2023, 23(2): 117-138. |
8 | McIntosh C, Sarris A, Papadopoulos F. Productivity, credit, risk, and the demand for weather index insurance in smallholder agriculture in Ethiopia. Agricultural Economics, 2013, 44(4/5): 399-417. |
9 | Fonta W M, Sanfo S, Kedir A M, et al. Estimating farmers’ willingness to pay for weather index-based crop insurance uptake in West Africa: Insight from a pilot initiative in Southwestern Burkina Faso. Agricultural and Food Economics, 2018, 6(1): 2-20. |
10 | Adjabui J A, Tozer P R, Gray D I. Willingness to participate and pay for index-based crop insurance in Ghana. Agricultural Finance Review, 2019, 79(4): 491-507. |
11 | Dahal B R, Adhikari S, Khanal A R. Willingness to pay for crop insurance: A case from citrus farmers in Nepal. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, 2022, 12(2): 247-261. |
12 | Clement K Y, Wouter B W J, Brouwer R, et al. A global review of the impact of basis risk on the functioning of and demand for index insurance. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2018, 28: 845-853. |
13 | Yang T T, Liu X L, Bai Y, et al. Agricultural index insurance: A review. Journal of Beijing Normal University (Natural Science), 2022, 58(3): 501-510. |
杨婷婷, 刘新立, 白媛, 等. 农业指数保险研究进展评述. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2022, 58(3): 501-510. | |
14 | Liu Y Z, Zhong F N, Lv K Y. Is weather index insurance a suitable agricultural risk management tool. Chinese Rural Economy, 2019(5): 2-21. |
刘亚洲, 钟甫宁, 吕开宇. 气象指数保险是合适的农业风险管理工具吗? 中国农村经济, 2019(5): 2-21. | |
15 | Song B, Mu Y Y, Hou L L, et al. Analysis on willingness to pay for agricultural weather index insurance in China based on CVM: A case study on citrus growers in Zhejiang Province. Insurance Studies, 2014(2): 54-63. |
宋博, 穆月英, 侯玲玲, 等. 基于CVM的我国农业气象指数保险支付意愿分析—以浙江柑橘种植户为例. 保险研究, 2014(2): 54-63. | |
16 | Wang Z G, Yang S, Hou X Y, et al. The effect of the meteorological perception of edible bean growers on willingness to pay weather index insurance-Based on 430 farmers in Kelan, Shanxi and Nantong, Jiangsu. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2022, 43(4): 163-172. |
王泽国, 阳霜, 侯小燚, 等. 农户气象感知对购买天气指数保险意愿的影响——以山西岢岚和江苏南通430食用豆户为例. 中国农业资源与区划, 2022, 43(4): 163-172. | |
17 | Li F N, Qin C S, Zhou X, et al. Design of a snow disaster weather-index insurance for alpine pastoral areas: A case study in Gannan. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2021, 30(6): 199-204. |
李芙凝, 秦昌胜, 周雪, 等. 高寒草原牧区雪灾指数保险的设计——以甘南牧区为例. 草业学报, 2021, 30(6): 199-204. | |
18 | Liang T G, Cui X, Feng Q S, et al. Remotely sensed dynamics monitoring of grassland aboveground biomass and carrying capacity during 2001-2008 in Gannan pastoral area. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2009, 18(6): 12-22. |
梁天刚, 崔霞, 冯琦胜,等.2001-2008年甘南牧区草地地上生物量与载畜量遥感动态监测. 草业学报, 2009, 18(6): 12-22. | |
19 | Yin Q, Qi Q. Monetized valuation of willingness: Application and prospect of contingent valuation method in the public service media valuation. Journalism and Mass Communication, 2022(8): 58-65, 88. |
殷琦, 祁琪. 意愿的货币化评估:条件估值法在媒体公共服务价值评估中的应用及前景. 新闻界, 2022(8): 58-65, 88. | |
20 | Chen H J, Si W, Wang X G. Grain-soybean rotation subsidy: Standard measurement and differential compensation. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2019(6): 17-28. |
陈海江, 司伟, 王新刚. 粮豆轮作补贴:标准测算及差异化补偿——基于不同积温带下农户受偿意愿的视角. 农业技术经济, 2019(6): 17-28. | |
21 | Li G P, Guo J. The loss of ecological environment damage in Yulin coal mining area due to resource development—Taking Shenmu, Fugu, and Yuyang as the investigation regions. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2012, 26(3): 17-22. |
李国平, 郭江. 基于CVM的榆林煤炭矿区生态环境破坏价值损失研究——以神木县、府谷县和榆阳区为调研区域. 干旱区资源与环境, 2012, 26(3): 17-22. | |
22 | Hossain M S, Alam G M M, Fahad S, et al. Smallholder farmers’ willingness to pay for flood insurance as climate change adaptation strategy in northern Bangladesh. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2022, 338: 130584. |
23 | Wang Q X, Soksophors Y, Barlis A, et al. Willingness to pay for weather-indexed insurance: Evidence from Cambodian rice farmers. Sustainability, 2022, 14: 14558. |
24 | Gulseven O. Estimating the demand factors and willingness to pay for agricultural insurance. Australian Journal of Engineering Research, 2014, 1(4): 13-18. |
25 | Liu P, Hou L, Li D, et al. Determinants of livestock insurance demand: Experimental evidence from Chinese herders. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2021, 72(2): 430-451. |
26 | Zheng H, Mu H, Zhao X. Evaluating the demand for aquaculture insurance: An investigation of fish farmers’ willingness to pay in central coastal areas in China. Marine Policy, 2018, 96: 152-162. |
27 | Ali W, Awudu A K. Recent advances in the analyses of demand for agricultural insurance in developing and emerging countries. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 2020, 12: 411-430. |
28 | King M, Singh A P. Understanding farmers’ valuation of agricultural insurance: Evidence from Vietnam. Food Policy, 2020, 94: 10861. |
29 | Binswanger-Mkhize H P. Is there too much hype about index-based agricultural insurance? Journal of Development Studies, 2012, 48(2): 187-200. |
30 | Zhao S, Fang Y P. Resilience of grassland livestock husbandry against snow disaster in Guoluo prefecture, Qinghai Province. Arid Zone Research, 2017, 34(4): 898-905. |
赵霜, 方一平. 青海省果洛州草地畜牧业雪灾的恢复力. 干旱区研究, 2017, 34(4): 898-905. | |
31 | Zhang C X, Liu C, Liao L. Applying the Logistic model to the risky asset allocation: An empirical study on the questionnaires of the mutual fund investors. Journal of Tsinghua University (Science and Technology), 2012, 52(8): 1142-1149. |
张春霞, 刘淳, 廖理. 使用Logistic回归模型确定投资者的风险资产配置——基于个人投资者问卷调查数据的实证分析. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2012, 52(8): 1142-1149. | |
32 | Fu Q, Ma L X, Hu J L. A study on the influence of social capital on rural household financial asset allocation. Economic Review Journal, 2022(7): 118-128. |
付琼, 马澜芯, 胡江林. 社会资本对农村家庭金融资产配置的影响研究. 经济纵横, 2022(7): 118-128. | |
33 | Li Z P, Wu F F. Can fiscal transfers improve the quality of poverty alleviation?——Based on the theory of livelihood resilience and the data of CFPS. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2020(11): 65-76. |
李志平, 吴凡夫. 继续增加财政转移性支出可以提高脱贫质量吗——基于生计抗逆力和CFPS数据的实证. 农业经济问题, 2020(11): 65-76. | |
34 | Zhao X Y. Surveying and thinking on the ecological immigrant and the herdsmen settlement in the high cold pasturing area——A case of Gannan pasturing area. Chinese Journal of Grassland, 2007, 29(2): 94-101. |
赵雪雁. 高寒牧区生态移民、牧民定居的调查与思考——以甘南牧区为例. 中国草地学报, 2007, 29(2): 94-101. | |
35 | Yang T T, Chen S, Mu Q Y, et al. Willingness-to-pay for yak snow disaster weather index insurance: A case study of Yushu Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, Qinghai Province. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2021, 42(4): 745-754. |
杨婷婷, 陈说, 牟青洋, 等. 牦牛雪灾天气指数保险支付意愿研究——以青海省玉树州为例. 农业现代化研究, 2021, 42(4): 745-754. | |
36 | Wei T D, Zhang Q, Wang K. Demands and development strategy of agricultural insurance for scale entities: Evidences from the 11373 scale agricultural entities. Insurance Studies, 2022(8): 48-59. |
魏腾达, 张峭, 王克. 新型农业经营主体的农业保险需求及提升对策——基于全国11373个新型农业经营主体的调查. 保险研究, 2022(8): 48-59. | |
37 | Song H Y, Jiang F, Zhang Y. Achievements and experience of China’s rural development and reform in the New Era. Chinese Rural Economy, 2023(3): 2-21. |
宋洪远, 江帆, 张益. 新时代中国农村发展改革的成就和经验. 中国农村经济, 2023(3): 2-21. | |
38 | Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Comprehensively Promoting the Key Work of Rural Revitalization in 2023. http://www.moa.gov.cn/xw/zwdt/202302/t20230214_6420464.htm, 2023-02-14. |
中共中央国务院关于做好2023年全面推进乡村振兴重点工作的意见. http://www.moa.gov.cn/xw/zwdt/202302/t20230214_6420464.htm, 2023-02-14. | |
39 | Dong R T. Impact of livestock cooperatives on herders’ income and production efficiency. Lanzhou: Lanzhou University, 2023. |
董芮彤. 畜牧业合作社对牧户收入及生产效率的影响. 兰州: 兰州大学, 2023. | |
40 | Wang X L, Chen S W. Analysis of the path of policy “weather index-income insurance” to support the development of large-scale agricultural operators. Lanzhou Academic Journal, 2023(10): 139-148. |
王晓丽, 陈盛伟. 政策性“气象指数-收入保险”支持新型农业经营主体发展的路径分析. 兰州学刊, 2023(10): 139-148. | |
41 | Liu Y Z, Zhang W L, Lv Z Y, et al. A review on supply and demand of weather index insurance. Rural Finance Research, 2021(7): 9-18. |
刘亚洲, 张文龙, 吕镇洋, 等. 农业气象指数保险供需研究评述. 农村金融研究, 2021(7): 9-18. | |
42 | Xu G Q, Chen X Y, Liu H B, et al. The conception and theory of climate insurance and its enlightenment to China. Climate Change Research, 2020, 16(3): 373-382. |
许光清, 陈晓玉, 刘海博, 等. 气候保险的概念、理论及在中国的发展建议. 气候变化研究进展, 2020, 16(3): 373-382. | |
43 | Zheng H, Wang C Y. Strategy of moral hazard controlling in marine disaster insurance market. Marine Environmental Science, 2015, 34(4): 536-539, 557. |
郑慧, 王春阳. 海洋灾害保险市场道德风险防范策略研究. 海洋环境科学, 2015, 34(4): 536-539, 557. |
[1] | Fu-ning LI, Chang-sheng QIN, Xue ZHOU, Zeng TANG. Design of a snow disaster weather——index insurance for alpine pastoral areas: A case study in Gannan [J]. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2021, 30(6): 199-204. |
[2] | LIANG Tian-gang, CUI Xia, FENG Qi-sheng, WANG Ying, XIA Wen-tao. Remotely sensed dynamics monitoring of grassland aboveground biomass and carrying capacityduring 2001-2008 in Gannan pastoral area [J]. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2009, 18(6): 12-22. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||