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Acta Prataculturae Sinica ›› 2022, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (8): 13-23.DOI: 10.11686/cyxb2021481

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Estimation and digital mapping of grassland belowground biomass in the Altay region, China, based on machine learning

Fang-zhen LI1,2,3(), Hua-ping ZHONG2, Ke-hui OUYANG1, Xiao-min ZHAO1,3(), Yu-zhe LI2()   

  1. 1.Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China
    2.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China
    3.Key Laboratory of Poyang Lake Watershed Agricultural Resources and Ecology of Jiangxi Province,Nanchang 330045,China
  • Received:2021-12-23 Revised:2022-02-28 Online:2022-08-20 Published:2022-07-01
  • Contact: Xiao-min ZHAO,Yu-zhe LI

Abstract:

This research investigated the spatial pattern of grassland belowground biomass (BGB) in the Altay region. Ecological indicators and BGB during the peak season (June-August) in 2015 were surveyed. Based on representative information for specific locations, terrain types, climate, and soil and plant factors, a forecasting model involving machine learning was developed to estimate BGB in the 0-30 cm soil layers in the study area. Based on this eatimation model, the spatial pattern was then obtained by the spatial interpolation method for digital mapping of BGB. It was found that: 1) The support vector machine model (SVM) had a higher estimation accuracy than an alternative partial least squares regression model and random forest model, also tested. The R2 values from the SVM model for verification data were 0.77, 0.67 and 0.69, respectively in the 0-10 cm, 10-20 cm and 20-30 cm soil layers, with accompanying root mean square error (RMSE) values of 246.56, 98.81 and 63.58 g·m-2, respectively. The outputs of three spatial interpolations indicated that an inverse distance weighting (IDW) method performed better than radial basis function and tension spline methods. 2) We further compared the output accuracy of different combinations of estimation model and spatial interpolation method. This comparison showed that SVM+IDW was a dependable combination of estimation model and spatial interpolation method for estimating the spatial pattern of BGB in the Altay region. The R2 values of the digital map obtained from this combination in the 0-10 cm, 10-20 cm, and 20-30 cm soil layers were, respectively, 0.73, 0.64, and 0.60, and the RMSE values were 269.73, 108.14 and 73.01 g·m-2. 3) The mean value of BGB in Altay region was 1265 g·m-2, which was twice that of the average for China and comparable to the global mean value. Temperate meadow steppe had the largest BGB, with a mean value of 2908.50 g·m-2, the temperate deserts hold the least biomass, estimated at 776.84 g·m-2. The BGB in the whole region is 1.27×108 t (≈0.13 Pg). Our modelling identified a strong spatial variability that decreased from the north to the south and from the mountains to plains.

Key words: grassland belowground biomass, Altay region, machine learning, spatial interpolation, SVM model, IDW interpolation, digital mapping