Acta Prataculturae Sinica ›› 2024, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 29-46.DOI: 10.11686/cyxb2023345
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Liu-fang SU1(), Huan-guang QIU2, Hui-fang LIU3,4(), Ling-ling HOU4
Received:
2023-09-19
Revised:
2023-10-30
Online:
2024-06-20
Published:
2024-03-20
Contact:
Hui-fang LIU
Liu-fang SU, Huan-guang QIU, Hui-fang LIU, Ling-ling HOU. Effect and mechanisms of alternative livelihood options for improving herder engagement with ecological compensation policy-a study of outcomes under China’s “Grassland ecological compensation policy”[J]. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2024, 33(6): 29-46.
受偿方案编号 Compensation scheme number | 第一次投标值 First bid value | 第二次投标低值 Second low bid value | 第二次投标高值 Second high bid value |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 45 | 22.5 | 120 |
2 | 120 | 45 | 300 |
3 | 300 | 120 | 1200 |
4 | 1200 | 300 | 2550 |
5 | 2550 | 1200 | 4500 |
6 | 4500 | 2550 | 7200 |
Table 1 Design of compensation scheme for complete grazing ban (CNY·hm-2·yr-1)
受偿方案编号 Compensation scheme number | 第一次投标值 First bid value | 第二次投标低值 Second low bid value | 第二次投标高值 Second high bid value |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 45 | 22.5 | 120 |
2 | 120 | 45 | 300 |
3 | 300 | 120 | 1200 |
4 | 1200 | 300 | 2550 |
5 | 2550 | 1200 | 4500 |
6 | 4500 | 2550 | 7200 |
非牧生计活动 Non-farm livelihood | 描述 Description |
---|---|
低技能非牧就业 Low-skilled non-farm work | 1)工厂的工人Factory workers;2)建筑业工人Building workers;3)矿业工人Mining workers;4)其他工人Other workers;5)工匠(木匠、水泥匠)Artisans (carpenters, cement workers);6)服务业工人(餐厅服务员、保洁、保安等)Service workers (restaurant waiters, cleaners, security guards, etc.); 7)农忙时节的农牧业务工和打零工等Farm workers and odd jobber during the busy farming season. |
高技能非牧就业 High-skilled non-farm work | 1)商业员工Commercial employees;2)办事人员(秘书等)Clerical staff (secretaries, etc.);3)各类专业技术人员(教师、医生等)Professional and technical personnel (teachers, doctors, etc.);4)党政企事业单位人员Personnel of Party and government enterprises and institutions;5)企业的管理人员Management personnel of the enterprise;6)自营工商业,包括个体商贩、自营工业、自营服务业(自家跑运输、开理发店等)等Self-employed industry and commerce, including individual traders, self-employed industry, self-employed service industry (own transportation, barber shop, etc.). |
Table 2 Type classification of non-farm livelihood
非牧生计活动 Non-farm livelihood | 描述 Description |
---|---|
低技能非牧就业 Low-skilled non-farm work | 1)工厂的工人Factory workers;2)建筑业工人Building workers;3)矿业工人Mining workers;4)其他工人Other workers;5)工匠(木匠、水泥匠)Artisans (carpenters, cement workers);6)服务业工人(餐厅服务员、保洁、保安等)Service workers (restaurant waiters, cleaners, security guards, etc.); 7)农忙时节的农牧业务工和打零工等Farm workers and odd jobber during the busy farming season. |
高技能非牧就业 High-skilled non-farm work | 1)商业员工Commercial employees;2)办事人员(秘书等)Clerical staff (secretaries, etc.);3)各类专业技术人员(教师、医生等)Professional and technical personnel (teachers, doctors, etc.);4)党政企事业单位人员Personnel of Party and government enterprises and institutions;5)企业的管理人员Management personnel of the enterprise;6)自营工商业,包括个体商贩、自营工业、自营服务业(自家跑运输、开理发店等)等Self-employed industry and commerce, including individual traders, self-employed industry, self-employed service industry (own transportation, barber shop, etc.). |
项目 Item | 样本量 Number of samples | 家庭劳动力比例 Household labor ratio (%) | 劳动力平均受教育年限 Average schooling years of household labor (yr) | 人均年补奖资金 Per capita annual compensation amount (CNY·Capita-1·yr-1) |
---|---|---|---|---|
有效追踪样本Effective tracking samples | 248 | 73.59 | 4.08 | 5542.16 |
丢失样本Untraceable samples | 90 | 69.59 | 4.05 | 5822.15 |
独立样本均值检验的P值(双边T检验)P value of independent sample mean test (Bilateral T test) | 0.20 | 0.93 | 0.86 |
Table 3 Heterogeneity test of untraceable samples
项目 Item | 样本量 Number of samples | 家庭劳动力比例 Household labor ratio (%) | 劳动力平均受教育年限 Average schooling years of household labor (yr) | 人均年补奖资金 Per capita annual compensation amount (CNY·Capita-1·yr-1) |
---|---|---|---|---|
有效追踪样本Effective tracking samples | 248 | 73.59 | 4.08 | 5542.16 |
丢失样本Untraceable samples | 90 | 69.59 | 4.05 | 5822.15 |
独立样本均值检验的P值(双边T检验)P value of independent sample mean test (Bilateral T test) | 0.20 | 0.93 | 0.86 |
时间Year | 类型Type | 数值Value |
---|---|---|
2020 | 参与低技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households participating in low-skilled non-farm work | 22.93 |
低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work | 9.84 | |
参与高技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households participating in high-skilled non-farm work | 18.02 | |
高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work | 6.25 | |
2015-2020 | 6年均不参与低技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households not participating in low-skilled non-farm work during 6 years | 71.77 |
6年间有参与低技能非牧就业但收入稳定性较低的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 6 years | 16.94 | |
6年间有参与低技能非牧就业且收入稳定性较高的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 6 years | 11.29 | |
6年均不参与高技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households not participating in high-skilled non-farm work during 6 years | 70.97 | |
6年间有参与高技能非牧就业但收入稳定性较低的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 6 years | 8.47 | |
6年间有参与高技能非牧就业且收入稳定性较高的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 6 years | 20.56 |
Table 4 Characteristics of alternative livelihoods of sample herders (%)
时间Year | 类型Type | 数值Value |
---|---|---|
2020 | 参与低技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households participating in low-skilled non-farm work | 22.93 |
低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work | 9.84 | |
参与高技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households participating in high-skilled non-farm work | 18.02 | |
高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work | 6.25 | |
2015-2020 | 6年均不参与低技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households not participating in low-skilled non-farm work during 6 years | 71.77 |
6年间有参与低技能非牧就业但收入稳定性较低的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 6 years | 16.94 | |
6年间有参与低技能非牧就业且收入稳定性较高的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 6 years | 11.29 | |
6年均不参与高技能非牧就业牧户占比Ratio of households not participating in high-skilled non-farm work during 6 years | 70.97 | |
6年间有参与高技能非牧就业但收入稳定性较低的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 6 years | 8.47 | |
6年间有参与高技能非牧就业且收入稳定性较高的牧户占比Ratio of households participating in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 6 years | 20.56 |
项目 Item | 变量 Variable | 定义 Definition | 均值 Mean | 方差 SD | 最小值 Min | 最大值 Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WTA实验 变量WTA experiment variables | 第一次投标值First bid value | 元·hm-2 CNY·ha-1 | 1371.109 | 1543.060 | 45.0 | 4500 |
第二次投标值Second bid value | 元·hm-2 CNY·ha-1 | 1768.458 | 2021.472 | 22.5 | 7200 | |
第一次选择First choice | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.262 | 0.441 | 0 | 1 | |
第二次选择Second choice | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.242 | 0.429 | 0 | 1 | |
村级替代性 生计措施变量Village-level variables of alternative livelihood measures | 2017-2020年提供就业培训年份数Number of years of job training services provided during 2017-2020 | 年份Year | 1.633 | 1.815 | 0 | 4 |
2020年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2020 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.419 | 0.494 | 0 | 1 | |
2019年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2019 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.456 | 0.499 | 0 | 1 | |
2018年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2018 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.435 | 0.497 | 0 | 1 | |
2017年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2017 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.323 | 0.468 | 0 | 1 | |
是否连续3~4年提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services for 3~4 consecutive years | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.415 | 0.494 | 0 | 1 | |
牧户替代性生计特征变量 Household-level variables of alternative livelihood characteristic | 2020年低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | 取值0到1 Ranges from 0 to 1 | 0.098 | 0.240 | 0 | 1 |
2020年高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | 取值0到1 Ranges from 0 to 1 | 0.063 | 0.179 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 2015-2020a | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.169 | 0.376 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 2015-2020a | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.113 | 0.317 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 2015-2020b | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.085 | 0.279 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 2015-2020b | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.206 | 0.405 | 0 | 1 | |
控制变量 Control variables | 家庭人口数量Household population size | 人Capita | 4.859 | 1.953 | 1 | 12 |
户主年龄Age of household head | 岁Years old | 51.883 | 11.553 | 23 | 96 | |
过去5年受灾次数Number of disasters in the past five years | 次Times | 0.915 | 1.742 | 0 | 10 | |
距离最近公路的距离Distance from the nearest road | 千米km | 7.459 | 14.591 | 0 | 80 | |
是否通宽带Broadband access or not | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.327 | 0.470 | 0 | 1 | |
是否加入合作社Whether to join a cooperative | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.379 | 0.486 | 0 | 1 | |
草场经营面积Grassland area | 万hm2 104 ha | 0.056 | 0.158 | 0 | 1.267 | |
省份Province | 甘肃Gansu=0 青海Qinghai=1 | 0.621 | 0.486 | 0 | 1 |
Table 5 Descriptive statistical analysis
项目 Item | 变量 Variable | 定义 Definition | 均值 Mean | 方差 SD | 最小值 Min | 最大值 Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WTA实验 变量WTA experiment variables | 第一次投标值First bid value | 元·hm-2 CNY·ha-1 | 1371.109 | 1543.060 | 45.0 | 4500 |
第二次投标值Second bid value | 元·hm-2 CNY·ha-1 | 1768.458 | 2021.472 | 22.5 | 7200 | |
第一次选择First choice | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.262 | 0.441 | 0 | 1 | |
第二次选择Second choice | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.242 | 0.429 | 0 | 1 | |
村级替代性 生计措施变量Village-level variables of alternative livelihood measures | 2017-2020年提供就业培训年份数Number of years of job training services provided during 2017-2020 | 年份Year | 1.633 | 1.815 | 0 | 4 |
2020年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2020 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.419 | 0.494 | 0 | 1 | |
2019年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2019 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.456 | 0.499 | 0 | 1 | |
2018年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2018 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.435 | 0.497 | 0 | 1 | |
2017年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2017 | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.323 | 0.468 | 0 | 1 | |
是否连续3~4年提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services for 3~4 consecutive years | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.415 | 0.494 | 0 | 1 | |
牧户替代性生计特征变量 Household-level variables of alternative livelihood characteristic | 2020年低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | 取值0到1 Ranges from 0 to 1 | 0.098 | 0.240 | 0 | 1 |
2020年高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | 取值0到1 Ranges from 0 to 1 | 0.063 | 0.179 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 2015-2020a | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.169 | 0.376 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 2015-2020a | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.113 | 0.317 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability during 2015-2020b | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.085 | 0.279 | 0 | 1 | |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability during 2015-2020b | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.206 | 0.405 | 0 | 1 | |
控制变量 Control variables | 家庭人口数量Household population size | 人Capita | 4.859 | 1.953 | 1 | 12 |
户主年龄Age of household head | 岁Years old | 51.883 | 11.553 | 23 | 96 | |
过去5年受灾次数Number of disasters in the past five years | 次Times | 0.915 | 1.742 | 0 | 10 | |
距离最近公路的距离Distance from the nearest road | 千米km | 7.459 | 14.591 | 0 | 80 | |
是否通宽带Broadband access or not | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.327 | 0.470 | 0 | 1 | |
是否加入合作社Whether to join a cooperative | 是Yes=1,否No=0 | 0.379 | 0.486 | 0 | 1 | |
草场经营面积Grassland area | 万hm2 104 ha | 0.056 | 0.158 | 0 | 1.267 | |
省份Province | 甘肃Gansu=0 青海Qinghai=1 | 0.621 | 0.486 | 0 | 1 |
变量 Variable | 完全禁牧受偿意愿WTA for grazing ban | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型1 Model 1 | 模型2 Model 2 | 模型3 Model 3 | 模型4 Model 4 | 模型5 Model 5 | 模型6 Model 6 | |
2020年低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | — | 670.215 (1098.684) | 153.118 (1111.635) | — | — | — |
2020年高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | — | -3175.442** (1463.547) | -2648.788** (1335.003) | — | — | — |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与低技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | ||||||
低技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | — | — | -642.489 (615.189) | 923.091 (708.724) | 770.347 (701.919) |
低技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | — | — | -420.386 (516.533) | 186.775 (697.794) | 286.386 (660.812) |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与高技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | ||||||
高技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | — | — | — | -1243.256 (754.762) | -722.734 (752.387) |
高技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | — | — | — | -1105.483** (521.164) | -919.531* (535.803) |
家庭人口数量Household population size | — | — | 223.641 (141.148) | — | — | 163.139 (128.346) |
户主年龄Age of household head | — | — | -53.075** (22.214) | — | — | -50.289** (19.956) |
过去5年受灾次数Number of disasters in the past five years | — | — | 151.340 (150.052) | — | — | 108.970 (134.049) |
距离最近公路的距离Distance from the nearest road | — | — | 8.748 (19.917) | — | — | -3.835 (13.515) |
是否通宽带Broadband access or not | — | — | -1110.115* (585.479) | — | — | -810.173 (581.843) |
是否加入合作社Whether to join a cooperative | — | — | -119.680 (544.933) | — | — | -36.505 (496.361) |
草场经营面积Grassland area | — | — | 616.332 (965.690) | — | — | -453.266 (1137.682) |
省份Province | — | — | 69.009 (582.354) | — | — | 131.726 (580.545) |
常数项Constant | 3564.136*** (320.586) | 3741.206*** (383.252) | 5642.024*** (1557.927) | 3825.287*** (414.214) | 3734.734*** (383.457) | 5688.563*** (1414.755) |
参数σ | 2946.707*** (267.005) | 2945.953*** (285.626) | 2867.343*** (274.811) | 2927.345*** (267.129) | 2880.209*** (262.147) | 2816.909*** (249.556) |
样本量Observation | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 |
对数似然值Log likelihood | 303.241 | -265.225 | -257.011 | -302.596 | -299.325 | -292.357 |
Table 6 Effects of herders’ alternative livelihood characteristics on WTA for grazing ban
变量 Variable | 完全禁牧受偿意愿WTA for grazing ban | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型1 Model 1 | 模型2 Model 2 | 模型3 Model 3 | 模型4 Model 4 | 模型5 Model 5 | 模型6 Model 6 | |
2020年低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | — | 670.215 (1098.684) | 153.118 (1111.635) | — | — | — |
2020年高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | — | -3175.442** (1463.547) | -2648.788** (1335.003) | — | — | — |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与低技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | ||||||
低技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | — | — | -642.489 (615.189) | 923.091 (708.724) | 770.347 (701.919) |
低技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | — | — | -420.386 (516.533) | 186.775 (697.794) | 286.386 (660.812) |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与高技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | ||||||
高技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | — | — | — | -1243.256 (754.762) | -722.734 (752.387) |
高技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | — | — | — | -1105.483** (521.164) | -919.531* (535.803) |
家庭人口数量Household population size | — | — | 223.641 (141.148) | — | — | 163.139 (128.346) |
户主年龄Age of household head | — | — | -53.075** (22.214) | — | — | -50.289** (19.956) |
过去5年受灾次数Number of disasters in the past five years | — | — | 151.340 (150.052) | — | — | 108.970 (134.049) |
距离最近公路的距离Distance from the nearest road | — | — | 8.748 (19.917) | — | — | -3.835 (13.515) |
是否通宽带Broadband access or not | — | — | -1110.115* (585.479) | — | — | -810.173 (581.843) |
是否加入合作社Whether to join a cooperative | — | — | -119.680 (544.933) | — | — | -36.505 (496.361) |
草场经营面积Grassland area | — | — | 616.332 (965.690) | — | — | -453.266 (1137.682) |
省份Province | — | — | 69.009 (582.354) | — | — | 131.726 (580.545) |
常数项Constant | 3564.136*** (320.586) | 3741.206*** (383.252) | 5642.024*** (1557.927) | 3825.287*** (414.214) | 3734.734*** (383.457) | 5688.563*** (1414.755) |
参数σ | 2946.707*** (267.005) | 2945.953*** (285.626) | 2867.343*** (274.811) | 2927.345*** (267.129) | 2880.209*** (262.147) | 2816.909*** (249.556) |
样本量Observation | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 |
对数似然值Log likelihood | 303.241 | -265.225 | -257.011 | -302.596 | -299.325 | -292.357 |
变量 Variable | 完全禁牧受偿意愿WTA for grazing ban | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型7 Model 7 | 模型8 Model 8 | 模型9 Model 9 | 模型10 Model 10 | 模型11 Model 11 | 模型12 Model 12 | |
2017-2020年提供就业培训年份数Number of years of job training services provided during 2017-2020 | -264.937** (126.272) | -270.796* (139.704) | — | — | — | — |
2020年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2020 | — | — | -1587.348** (797.271) | -2075.630** (938.479) | — | — |
2019年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2019 | — | — | 2244.703 (1590.828) | 2659.447 (2114.153) | — | — |
2018年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2018 | — | — | -209.523 (1529.792) | -462.267 (2031.298) | — | — |
2017年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2017 | — | — | -1793.745** (768.561) | -1671.326* (881.894) | — | — |
是否连续3~4年提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services for 3~4 consecutive years | — | — | — | — | -951.890** (458.681) | -928.908* (492.347) |
控制变量Control variables | 否No | 是Yes | 否No | 是Yes | 否No | 是Yes |
常数项Constant | 3993.326*** (415.669) | 6655.659*** (246.768) | 3883.661*** (409.705) | 7036.829*** (1531.615) | 3956.503*** (406.024) | 6526.355*** (1500.732) |
参数σ | 2908.083*** (261.269) | 2818.110*** (246.768) | 2860.632*** (260.027) | 2762.067*** (240.166) | 2909.298*** (260.815) | 2821.826*** (246.327) |
样本量Observation | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 |
对数似然值Log likelihood | -301.001 | -292.704 | -297.637 | -289.405 | -301.118 | -292.909 |
Table 7 Effects of village-level alternative livelihood measures on WTA for grazing ban
变量 Variable | 完全禁牧受偿意愿WTA for grazing ban | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型7 Model 7 | 模型8 Model 8 | 模型9 Model 9 | 模型10 Model 10 | 模型11 Model 11 | 模型12 Model 12 | |
2017-2020年提供就业培训年份数Number of years of job training services provided during 2017-2020 | -264.937** (126.272) | -270.796* (139.704) | — | — | — | — |
2020年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2020 | — | — | -1587.348** (797.271) | -2075.630** (938.479) | — | — |
2019年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2019 | — | — | 2244.703 (1590.828) | 2659.447 (2114.153) | — | — |
2018年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2018 | — | — | -209.523 (1529.792) | -462.267 (2031.298) | — | — |
2017年是否提供就业培训 Whether to provide job training services in 2017 | — | — | -1793.745** (768.561) | -1671.326* (881.894) | — | — |
是否连续3~4年提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services for 3~4 consecutive years | — | — | — | — | -951.890** (458.681) | -928.908* (492.347) |
控制变量Control variables | 否No | 是Yes | 否No | 是Yes | 否No | 是Yes |
常数项Constant | 3993.326*** (415.669) | 6655.659*** (246.768) | 3883.661*** (409.705) | 7036.829*** (1531.615) | 3956.503*** (406.024) | 6526.355*** (1500.732) |
参数σ | 2908.083*** (261.269) | 2818.110*** (246.768) | 2860.632*** (260.027) | 2762.067*** (240.166) | 2909.298*** (260.815) | 2821.826*** (246.327) |
样本量Observation | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 |
对数似然值Log likelihood | -301.001 | -292.704 | -297.637 | -289.405 | -301.118 | -292.909 |
变量 Variables | 是否愿意接受禁牧补偿同意完全禁牧 Whether to accept compensation and agree to grazing ban | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型13 Model 13 | 模型14 Model 14 | 模型15 Model 15 | 模型16 Model 16 | 模型17 Model 17 | |
第一次或第二次投标值First bid value or second bid value | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) |
2020年低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | -0.195 (0.326) | — | — | — | — |
2020年高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | 0.761* (0.408) | — | — | — | — |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与低技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | |||||
低技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | -0.298 (0.195) | — | — | — |
低技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | -0.312 (0.246) | — | — | — |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与高技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | |||||
高技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | 0.274 (0.247) | — | — | — |
高技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | 0.300* (0.172) | — | — | — |
2017-2020年提供就业培训年份数Number of years of job training services provided during 2017-2020 | — | — | 0.080* (0.042) | — | — |
2020年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2020 | — | — | — | 0.654** (0.301) | — |
2019年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2019 | — | — | — | -1.073 (0.699) | — |
2018年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2018 | — | — | — | 0.424 (0.662) | — |
2017年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2017 | — | — | — | 0.460* (0.280) | — |
是否连续3~4年提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services for 3~4 consecutive years | — | — | — | — | 0.275* (0.152) |
控制变量Control variables | 是Yes | 是Yes | 是Yes | 是Yes | 是Yes |
常数项Constant | -1.597*** (0.467) | -0.831*** (0.153) | -1.991*** (0.454) | -2.142*** (0.463) | -1.952*** (0.450) |
参数的反tan函数值 Athrho | 0.348** (0.156) | 0.444*** (0.148) | 0.375*** (0.149) | 0.353*** (0.150) | 0.375** (0.149) |
样本量Observation | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 |
Wald统计量Wald statistic | 45.870*** | 36.040*** | 46.540*** | 50.420*** | 6.345** |
对数似然值Log likelihood | -216.300 | -257.519 | -250.809 | -247.597 | -250.973 |
Table 8 Robustness check by Biprobit model
变量 Variables | 是否愿意接受禁牧补偿同意完全禁牧 Whether to accept compensation and agree to grazing ban | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型13 Model 13 | 模型14 Model 14 | 模型15 Model 15 | 模型16 Model 16 | 模型17 Model 17 | |
第一次或第二次投标值First bid value or second bid value | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) |
2020年低技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from low-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | -0.195 (0.326) | — | — | — | — |
2020年高技能非牧就业收入占比Share of income from high-skilled non-farm work in 2020 | 0.761* (0.408) | — | — | — | — |
2015-2020年低技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与低技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in low-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | |||||
低技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | -0.298 (0.195) | — | — | — |
低技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in low-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | -0.312 (0.246) | — | — | — |
2015-2020年高技能非牧就业稳定性Income stability of high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020(以“2015-2020年不参与高技能非牧就业”为对照组Base case is “No participation in high-skilled non-farm work during 2015-2020”) | |||||
高技能非牧就业低稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with low income stability | — | 0.274 (0.247) | — | — | — |
高技能非牧就业高稳定性Whether to participate in high-skilled non-farm work with high income stability | — | 0.300* (0.172) | — | — | — |
2017-2020年提供就业培训年份数Number of years of job training services provided during 2017-2020 | — | — | 0.080* (0.042) | — | — |
2020年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2020 | — | — | — | 0.654** (0.301) | — |
2019年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2019 | — | — | — | -1.073 (0.699) | — |
2018年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2018 | — | — | — | 0.424 (0.662) | — |
2017年是否提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services in 2017 | — | — | — | 0.460* (0.280) | — |
是否连续3~4年提供就业培训Whether to provide job training services for 3~4 consecutive years | — | — | — | — | 0.275* (0.152) |
控制变量Control variables | 是Yes | 是Yes | 是Yes | 是Yes | 是Yes |
常数项Constant | -1.597*** (0.467) | -0.831*** (0.153) | -1.991*** (0.454) | -2.142*** (0.463) | -1.952*** (0.450) |
参数的反tan函数值 Athrho | 0.348** (0.156) | 0.444*** (0.148) | 0.375*** (0.149) | 0.353*** (0.150) | 0.375** (0.149) |
样本量Observation | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 248 |
Wald统计量Wald statistic | 45.870*** | 36.040*** | 46.540*** | 50.420*** | 6.345** |
对数似然值Log likelihood | -216.300 | -257.519 | -250.809 | -247.597 | -250.973 |
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[2] | Shi-qi GUAN, Rui-tong DONG, Zeng TANG. Research into herdsmens’ decisions on livestock reduction and factors influencing their behavior, from a capital endowment perspective [J]. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2021, 30(12): 5-16. |
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